First seen by our source: 22 days ago
Political Analyst - Elections Forecasting
@ Mercor
Toronto, Ontario
Overview
Mercor is hiring a remote contract Political Expert for elections forecasting and political risk, paying $150 to $250 per hour. The role authors point-in-time political forecasts, makes documented judgments on polling and win probabilities, and reviews model-generated analyses to improve AI performance. Candidates need 8+ years of senior forecasting or political-risk experience.
Pay:
$150–$250 an hour
Responsibilities:
- Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts
- Make and document judgments on polling and win probabilities
- Explain causal mechanisms of political and market impact
- Review and grade model-generated analyses
Requirements summary:
- Senior elections forecaster, strategist, polling or political-risk expert
- Record of live judgments on polling and win probabilities
- Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis
- 8+ years of direct experience or equivalent evidence
Tools & skills
Source and dates
Source type not verified · manatal
- Employer posting date
- Not provided
- First seen by our source
- 2026-10-16
- Source record updated
- 2026-10-16
These dates describe the source record, not a live verification that the employer is still hiring. Check the original posting.
Job details
| Seniority | Senior |
| Experience | 8+ years |
| Work setting | Home |
| Position | Mostly sitting |
| Physical demands | physical low · computer high |
| Languages | English |
Summary and details written by AI from the posting; the employer’s posting is the authority.
Mercor
Saved company profile
Historical company information from a saved The Jobs API profile (LinkedIn/Crunchbase fields). It is not live-verified; figures may have changed. Missing values remain unknown.
We connect human expertise with leading AI labs and enterprises to train frontier models.
Full company description
Mercor is defining the future of work. We connect human expertise with leading AI labs and enterprises to train frontier models.
- LinkedIn followers
- 654,507
- People associated on LinkedIn
- 5,250
- Reported office locations
- San Francisco, California 94105, US
- Business categories
- Employment
- Software
- Recruiting
- Data Collection and Labeling
- Artificial Intelligence (AI)
- Machine Learning
- Other recorded names
- Mercor
- Profile identifies a recruitment agency
- Yes
- Reported total investment
- 483,600,000
Currency and observation date were not supplied; this is not a current valuation or a funding round.
Mercor is defining the future of work. We connect human expertise with leading AI labs and enterprises to train frontier models.
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Industry | Software Development |
| Company size | 51-200 employees |
| Headquarters | San Francisco, California |
| Organization type | Privately Held |
| Year founded | 2023 |
| Open jobs on Jobsy | 1,626 |
| View page |
About the job
Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Peter Thiel, Adam D'Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey.
Position: Political Expert — Elections Forecasting & Political Risk
Type: Contract
Compensation: $150–$250/hour
Location: Remote
Role Responsibilities
- Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
- Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
- Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact.
- Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard.
- Work independently and asynchronously to meet deadlines while improving AI model performance.
Qualifications
Must-Have
- A senior elections forecaster, campaign strategist, polling or statistical-methodology expert, or political-risk analyst.
- A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds.
- Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis.
- 8+ years of direct experience or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance.
Preferred
- Experience with top national polling and election-forecasting organizations, major decision desks, or senior analytics teams from presidential, Senate, or governor races.
- Background in political-risk desks at leading banks, funds, or firms such as Eurasia Group and EIU.
Application Process (Takes 20–30 mins to complete)
- Upload resume
- AI interview based on your resume
- Submit form
Resources & Support
- For details about the interview process and platform information, please check: https://talent.docs.mercor.com/welcome
- For any help or support, reach out to: [email protected]
PS: Our team reviews applications daily. Please complete your AI interview and application steps to be considered for this opportunity.
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