First seen by our source: 22 days ago
Political Analyst - Elections Forecasting
@ Mercor
Toronto, Ontario
Overview
Mercor is hiring a remote contract Local Political Expert to author point-in-time election forecasts and political risk reports for AI research labs. The work involves judging polling, win probabilities and market-implied odds on US swing-state races, explaining causal mechanisms, and grading model-generated analyses. Pay is $150 to $250 per hour.
Pay:
$150–$250 an hour
Responsibilities:
- Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts
- Judge polling, win probabilities and market-implied odds
- Explain causal mechanisms behind political events
- Review and grade model-generated analyses
- Work independently and asynchronously
Requirements summary:
- Hands-on experience on specific US swing-state races
- On-the-ground knowledge of electorate and candidates
- Record of live judgments on polls and odds
- Strong polling literacy and causal analysis
- 8+ years of direct experience or equivalent
Tools & skills
Source and dates
Source type not verified · manatal
- Employer posting date
- Not provided
- First seen by our source
- 2026-10-16
- Source record updated
- 2026-10-16
These dates describe the source record, not a live verification that the employer is still hiring. Check the original posting.
Job details
| Seniority | Senior |
| Experience | 8+ years |
| Travel | air: none · ground: none |
| Work setting | Home |
| Position | Mostly sitting |
| Physical demands | physical low · computer high |
| Languages | English |
Summary and details written by AI from the posting; the employer’s posting is the authority.
Mercor
Saved company profile
Historical company information from a saved The Jobs API profile (LinkedIn/Crunchbase fields). It is not live-verified; figures may have changed. Missing values remain unknown.
We connect human expertise with leading AI labs and enterprises to train frontier models.
Full company description
Mercor is defining the future of work. We connect human expertise with leading AI labs and enterprises to train frontier models.
- LinkedIn followers
- 654,507
- People associated on LinkedIn
- 5,250
- Reported office locations
- San Francisco, California 94105, US
- Business categories
- Employment
- Software
- Recruiting
- Data Collection and Labeling
- Artificial Intelligence (AI)
- Machine Learning
- Other recorded names
- Mercor
- Profile identifies a recruitment agency
- Yes
- Reported total investment
- 483,600,000
Currency and observation date were not supplied; this is not a current valuation or a funding round.
Mercor is defining the future of work. We connect human expertise with leading AI labs and enterprises to train frontier models.
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Industry | Software Development |
| Company size | 51-200 employees |
| Headquarters | San Francisco, California |
| Organization type | Privately Held |
| Year founded | 2023 |
| Open jobs on Jobsy | 1,626 |
| View page |
About the job
Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Peter Thiel, Adam D'Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey.
Position: Local Political Expert — Elections Forecasting & Political Risk
Type: Contract
Compensation: $150–$250/hour
Location: Remote
Role Responsibilities
- Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
- Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
- Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact.
- Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard.
- Work independently and asynchronously to meet deadlines while improving AI model performance.
Qualifications
Must-Have
- Local political analysts with hands-on experience on specific races in swing states.
- On-the-ground knowledge of the electorate, candidates, and local political environment.
- A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds in those races.
- Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis.
- 8+ years of direct experience or equivalent performance.
Preferred
- Experience in political science departments and survey research centers at universities in target states.
- State and regional pollsters, state-level campaign and party analytics teams.
- Decision desks or race-ratings outlets with state-specific coverage.
- National forecasting or political-risk experience with deep knowledge of a specific state.
Not a fit
- Profiles with experience mainly in international politics, geopolitics, or country risk.
- Analysts who have not worked on a current or recent US race in the state they would cover.
- Pure communications or journalism profiles without demonstrated forecasting, polling, or probabilistic judgment.
- Academic profiles whose work is purely theoretical, with no analysis of live races.
Application Process (Takes 20–30 mins to complete)
- Upload resume
- AI interview based on your resume
- Submit form
Resources & Support
- For details about the interview process and platform information, please check: https://talent.docs.mercor.com/welcome
- For any help or support, reach out to: [email protected]
PS: Our team reviews applications daily. Please complete your AI interview and application steps to be considered for this opportunity.
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